Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
5 Kansas 100.0%   2   27 - 6 16 - 2 27 - 6 16 - 2 +18.4      +9.3 12 +9.1 5 70.6 97 +18.5 5 +22.7 1
6 Missouri 100.0%   2   30 - 4 14 - 4 30 - 4 14 - 4 +18.3      +15.5 1 +2.8 91 67.8 162 +19.9 3 +17.6 2
11 Baylor 100.0%   3   26 - 7 12 - 6 26 - 7 12 - 6 +14.8      +9.2 13 +5.6 28 68.6 138 +17.4 10 +14.5 4
21 Kansas St. 98.9%   8   21 - 10 10 - 8 21 - 10 10 - 8 +12.9      +5.4 49 +7.5 16 70.5 100 +12.3 25 +11.4 5
25 Texas 81.2%   11   20 - 13 9 - 9 20 - 13 9 - 9 +11.6      +7.3 26 +4.3 59 67.1 180 +10.5 38 +10.0 6
27 Iowa St. 98.5%   8   22 - 10 12 - 6 22 - 10 12 - 6 +11.5      +7.1 27 +4.5 55 68.8 132 +11.9 28 +15.0 3
90 Oklahoma St. 0.0%   14 - 18 7 - 11 14 - 18 7 - 11 +5.4      +3.2 90 +2.2 109 68.3 147 +5.8 90 +7.5 7
96 Oklahoma 0.0%   15 - 16 5 - 13 15 - 16 5 - 13 +5.1      +2.1 115 +3.0 87 69.8 116 +5.1 97 +3.9 8
104 Texas A&M 0.0%   13 - 18 4 - 14 13 - 18 4 - 14 +4.5      -0.4 182 +4.9 45 60.8 306 +2.8 135 +1.8 9
220 Texas Tech 0.0%   8 - 23 1 - 17 8 - 23 1 - 17 -3.2      -5.0 289 +1.8 123 65.4 226 -3.1 216 -6.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Missouri 2.0 100.0
Baylor 3.0 100.0
Kansas St. 5.0 100.0
Texas 6.0 100.0
Iowa St. 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 7.0 100.0
Oklahoma 8.0 100.0
Texas A&M 9.0 100.0
Texas Tech 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 16 - 2 100.0
Missouri 14 - 4 100.0
Baylor 12 - 6 100.0
Kansas St. 10 - 8 100.0
Texas 9 - 9 100.0
Iowa St. 12 - 6 100.0
Oklahoma St. 7 - 11 100.0
Oklahoma 5 - 13 100.0
Texas A&M 4 - 14 100.0
Texas Tech 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Missouri
Baylor
Kansas St.
Texas
Iowa St.
Oklahoma St.
Oklahoma
Texas A&M
Texas Tech


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2   43.5 51.0 5.4 0.0 100.0%
Missouri 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2   20.0 61.3 18.3 0.4
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   4.1 33.7 55.7 6.4 0.1 100.0%
Kansas St. 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 8   0.0 1.3 6.0 19.1 35.8 28.7 7.2 0.7 1.1 98.9%
Texas 81.2% 0.0% 81.2% 11   0.0 0.2 2.4 9.6 25.1 32.6 10.9 0.4 18.8 81.2%
Iowa St. 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 8   0.2 5.8 17.0 30.8 30.4 12.2 1.8 0.1 1.5 98.5%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.8% 71.9% 51.3% 30.8% 17.4% 9.4%
Missouri 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.2% 71.0% 49.7% 28.6% 16.2% 8.8%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 81.8% 53.5% 27.1% 11.8% 5.0% 1.9%
Kansas St. 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 58.9% 20.1% 9.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Texas 81.2% 11.5% 77.3% 38.9% 14.4% 5.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Iowa St. 98.5% 0.0% 98.5% 55.4% 18.3% 8.2% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Oklahoma St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 5.8 0.4 20.6 79.0
1st Round 100.0% 5.7 0.4 24.5 75.1
2nd Round 100.0% 4.2 0.0 0.3 3.7 18.2 37.9 32.3 7.6
Sweet Sixteen 98.4% 2.5 1.6 12.3 35.9 37.3 11.3 1.6 0.0
Elite Eight 88.2% 1.5 11.8 38.2 37.8 11.1 1.1 0.0
Final Four 62.7% 0.8 37.3 46.8 14.7 1.2 0.0
Final Game 38.2% 0.4 61.8 35.0 3.3
Champion 20.9% 0.2 79.1 20.9